BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 77 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 153.44
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 148.99 7 33 1A 15 ( 8- 4) Iowa -4.45 -21.55
2 09/08/2018 Home L 157.23 6 17 1A 21 ( 9- 4) Utah 3.79 -14.79
3 09/15/2018 Home W * 144.44 24 16 1A 119 ( 1- 11) Central Michigan -9.00 17.00
4 09/22/2018 Away L 135.19 19 37 1A 85 ( 5- 7) Florida St -18.25 0.25
5 09/29/2018 Away W * 158.49 26 23 1A 79 ( 7- 6) Eastern Michigan 5.05 -2.05
6 10/06/2018 Away W * 151.23 24 16 1A 114 ( 4- 8) Ball St -2.21 10.21
7 10/13/2018 Home W * 160.77 24 21 1A 38 ( 8- 4) Ohio U. 7.33 -4.33
8 10/27/2018 Away W 160.93 7 6 1A 57 ( 6- 6) Brigham Young 7.49 -6.49
9 11/01/2018 Away W * 153.93 36 26 1A 105 ( 4- 8) Akron 0.49 9.51
10 11/07/2018 Home W * 178.11 38 15 1A 64 ( 7- 5) Toledo 24.67 -1.67
11 11/14/2018 Home L * 145.33 7 13 1A 76 ( 6- 6) Miami OH -8.10 2.10
12 11/20/2018 Away L * 143.12 21 28 1A 93 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan -10.32 3.32
13 11/30/2018 Neutral W * 156.94 30 29 1A 61 ( 10- 3) Buffalo 3.50 -2.50
14 12/18/2018 Neutral 1A 75 ( 10- 3) Alabama-Birmingham -0.36
Averages 153.44 20.7 21.5
Best game: 178.11 = 23 point win over Toledo
Worst game: 135.19 = 18 point loss to Florida St
Team stdev: 10.73